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Red40
622317.6
605820.8
42479.6
Blue49
250624.9
453125.4
509623.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466501001502002504049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6058
#46
20.87.1
20.813.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End3.7
blue by 4.6
4531
#37
25.41.1
24.523.4
Auto3.5
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
6223
#43
17.63.9
17.613.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 7.3
2506
#14
24.91.2
18.817.5
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Third
4247
#53
9.61.9
16.014.0
Auto0.9
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 14.0
5096
#34
23.51.2
17.015.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed