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Red37
606421.8
577315.6
53720.3
Blue65
171617.9
93031.9
373425.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526401001502002503003504003765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6064
#36
21.89.0
21.812.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.3
blue by 10.1
930
#12
31.90.5
26.827.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.3
Second
537
#26
20.32.3
18.816.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End3.2
blue by 5.2
3734
#18
25.60.5
17.718.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End6.3
Third
5773
#45
15.62.8
18.115.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 2.3
1716
#44
17.90.5
15.716.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed