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Red60
514828.4
171617.9
53720.3
Blue95
109125.8
341834.7
369214.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767102040601001201401606095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#15
28.40.9
30.229.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End5.0
blue by 6.2
34.72.4
33.235.7
Auto9.9
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Second
537
#26
20.30.9
22.421.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End3.2
blue by 5.5
1091
#24
25.81.7
23.425.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.3
Third
1716
#44
17.91.3
20.719.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.2
red by 3.4
3692
#38
14.51.7
13.114.7
Auto1.5
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed