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Qual 782016 Wisconsin Regional
Red44
478627.3
559513.9
42479.6
Blue47
25009.5
454916.9
253029.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55592040801004447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#31
27.30.7
27.0→26.4
Auto7.4
Teleop16.1
End3.8
blue by 2.0
2530
#4
29.30.9
29.5→28.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Second
5595
#48
13.91.0
15.4→14.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 3.0
4549
#47
16.90.9
16.5→15.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Third
4247
#53
9.61.0
11.9→10.9
Auto0.9
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 0.1
2500
#52
9.50.6
10.5→9.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed