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Red67
547320.2
345241.4
557418.7
Blue101
150227.1
387530.2
354644.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810905015020067101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#17
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto7.8
Teleop27.3
End6.3
blue by 2.7
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
Second
5473
#23
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.3
blue by 10.0
3875
#10
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.1
Teleop16.5
End3.6
Third
5574
#14
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 8.5
1502
#12
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds33%Capture odds