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Red120
201347.0
571026.6
357237.8
Blue101
438132.2
7440.1
550232.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11610650150200120101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#24
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto13.8
Teleop25.9
End7.3
red by 6.9
74
#26
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End11.9
Second
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End4.1
red by 5.6
4381
#35
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Third
5710
#21
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
blue by 5.4
32.00.0
32.032.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds48%Capture odds