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Red77
201347.0
10127.4
191851.6
Blue87
277149.0
118824.2
547320.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137890501502002507787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 2.5
49.00.0
49.049.0
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End5.8
Second
2013
#24
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto13.8
Teleop25.9
End7.3
red by 22.8
1188
#27
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End4.8
Third
101
#30
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End5.4
red by 7.2
5473
#23
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds83%Breach odds
Capture
30%Capture odds8%Capture odds