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Red95
335744.7
400346.0
571026.6
Blue114
423730.7
354644.1
598039.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111705010015020095114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#20
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
red by 1.9
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
Second
3357
#29
44.70.0
44.744.7
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
red by 5.5
5980
#18
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto8.3
Teleop21.4
End9.5
Third
5710
#21
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
blue by 4.1
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
44%Capture odds74%Capture odds