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Red105
170825.7
261441.9
426531.6
Blue87
326034.9
45635.4
107121.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049305015020010587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 6.5
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 3.3
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Third
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 4.0
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds3%Capture odds