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Red101
265620.5
450531.8
4840.6
Blue72
112630.6
999915.6
132531.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions997705015020010172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 9.0
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Second
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 1.2
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
red by 4.9
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds6%Capture odds