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Red87
541821.9
349223.3
351119.4
Blue57
88830.6
350434.7
384434.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911101001502008757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
blue by 11.4
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 12.8
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 11.2
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds34%Capture odds