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Red71
4840.6
326034.9
170825.7
Blue68
450531.8
349223.3
132531.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107860501502007168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 8.8
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Second
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
red by 3.3
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Third
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 2.4
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds7%Capture odds