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Red91
999915.6
446728.4
68639.1
Blue116
261441.9
495432.6
351119.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839905015020091116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
blue by 2.9
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Second
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
blue by 4.3
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 3.8
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds2%Capture odds