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Red104
265620.5
541821.9
426531.6
Blue116
170825.7
162931.9
450531.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7395050150200104116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 0.3
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Second
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 9.9
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Third
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
blue by 5.1
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds7%Capture odds