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Red38
999915.6
495432.6
265536.0
Blue118
261441.9
45635.4
450531.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8111805010015020025038118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
blue by 5.9
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Second
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
blue by 2.8
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 16.2
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds15%Capture odds