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Red53
350434.7
349223.3
107121.7
Blue86
384434.7
446728.4
541821.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81890501001502005386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Level
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
blue by 5.1
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
Third
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 0.3
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds66%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds2%Capture odds