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Red91
326034.9
349223.3
112630.6
Blue126
107121.7
384434.7
450531.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919140608010012014016091126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
red by 0.2
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
blue by 1.2
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Third
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
red by 1.6
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds83%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds11%Capture odds