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Red151
319321.4
426531.6
261441.9
Blue140
446728.4
350434.7
170825.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999050150200151140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 7.2
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 3.2
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
Third
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 4.3
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds1%Capture odds