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Red105
384434.7
132531.6
450531.8
Blue87
265536.0
88830.6
265620.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103875015020010587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
blue by 1.3
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 1.2
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Third
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 11.1
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
21%Capture odds21%Capture odds