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Red65
541821.9
349223.3
319321.4
Blue79
326034.9
495432.6
112630.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621080501506579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
blue by 11.6
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 10.7
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 9.2
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds13%Capture odds