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Red85
162931.9
261441.9
351119.4
Blue89
107121.7
45635.4
426531.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97904060801201401601808589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 6.5
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
red by 0.3
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 2.3
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds3%Capture odds