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Red104
450531.8
132531.6
495432.6
Blue85
446728.4
88830.6
384434.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999640608012014016018010485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
blue by 2.1
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 1.2
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Third
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 3.3
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds8%Capture odds