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Red86
495432.6
170825.7
384434.7
Blue52
326034.9
162931.9
999915.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98830501508652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
blue by 0.2
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 0.7
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 10.0
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds3%Capture odds