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Red71
265536.0
446728.4
450531.8
Blue66
265620.5
319321.4
350434.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10375501502007166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
red by 1.3
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Second
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 10.5
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
red by 7.8
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds78%Breach odds
Capture
21%Capture odds2%Capture odds