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Red93
112630.6
45635.4
107121.7
Blue96
351119.4
426531.6
4840.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89950501502009396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
blue by 5.2
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Second
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
blue by 1.0
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
red by 2.3
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds4%Capture odds