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Red53
88830.6
261441.9
132531.6
Blue65
349223.3
541821.9
68639.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112820501001502005365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 2.9
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 8.4
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Third
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
red by 8.7
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds64%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds4%Capture odds