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Red115
261441.9
349223.3
495432.6
Blue88
450531.8
112630.6
162931.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019605015020011588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 10.0
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Second
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 0.8
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Third
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
blue by 7.3
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds43%Capture odds