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Red61
541821.9
326034.9
351119.4
Blue64
68639.1
265536.0
170825.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731090501502006164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 4.2
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 14.1
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Third
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 6.3
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds22%Capture odds