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Red114
4840.6
88830.6
45635.4
Blue96
350434.7
319321.4
384434.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113905010015020011496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 5.9
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 0.7
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
red by 9.3
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
25%Capture odds11%Capture odds