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Red102
265620.5
45635.4
384434.7
Blue105
349223.3
261441.9
351119.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9586050150102105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
blue by 6.5
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Second
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
red by 11.4
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Third
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
red by 1.1
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds68%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds1%Capture odds