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Red99
170825.7
326034.9
495432.6
Blue77
999915.6
107121.7
265536.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100710501509977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 1.2
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 11.0
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Third
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 10.0
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds80%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds5%Capture odds