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Red83
88830.6
319321.4
450531.8
Blue48
426531.6
68639.1
162931.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82110501001502008348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
blue by 7.2
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
blue by 1.3
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 10.3
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
17%Capture odds20%Capture odds