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Red120
350434.7
45635.4
112630.6
Blue63
351119.4
132531.6
495432.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078205015012063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 2.8
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Second
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
red by 3.1
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Third
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
red by 11.2
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
30%Capture odds2%Capture odds