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Red94
349223.3
170825.7
384434.7
Blue104
265536.0
426531.6
351119.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859005010015020094104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
blue by 1.3
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 6.0
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
red by 3.9
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds9%Capture odds