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Red71
132531.6
326034.9
107121.7
Blue136
319321.4
162931.9
446728.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928305015071136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
red by 3.0
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Second
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 3.3
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
Third
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
red by 0.3
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds2%Capture odds