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Red109
265620.5
261441.9
4840.6
Blue108
88830.6
350434.7
495432.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107100050150200109108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 7.2
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Second
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 8.0
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
blue by 10.1
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds19%Capture odds