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Red68
107121.7
999915.6
170825.7
Blue88
88830.6
349223.3
45635.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599802040801201401606888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 9.8
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 9.0
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 7.6
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds8%Capture odds