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Red88
541821.9
450531.8
426531.6
Blue107
326034.9
384434.7
261441.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8212005010015020088107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
blue by 10.1
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 3.3
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Third
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 12.8
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds10%Capture odds