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Red90
265620.5
351119.4
350434.7
Blue124
4840.6
319321.4
495432.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7210205015020090124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 5.9
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Second
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
blue by 12.1
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 2.0
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds5%Capture odds