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Red103
541821.9
999915.6
45635.4
Blue88
426531.6
112630.6
132531.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110105015020010388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 3.8
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Second
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 9.7
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 15.0
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds16%Capture odds