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Red79
350434.7
541821.9
999915.6
Blue39
319321.4
265536.0
349223.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73850501502002503003504007939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 1.3
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 1.3
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 5.7
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds8%Capture odds