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Red99
426531.6
162931.9
446728.4
Blue98
495432.6
68639.1
351119.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959460801001201409998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
blue by 7.1
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 1.0
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
red by 9.0
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds4%Capture odds