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Red82
265620.5
132531.6
107121.7
Blue79
261441.9
319321.4
999915.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75820501001502002503003508279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
blue by 10.3
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Second
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
red by 0.3
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
red by 4.9
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach odds46%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds