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Red75
450531.8
68639.1
170825.7
Blue101
351119.4
350434.7
112630.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028505015020025075101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
red by 4.4
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Second
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 1.2
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 6.3
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
12%Capture odds12%Capture odds