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Red121
426531.6
541821.9
495432.6
Blue95
4840.6
349223.3
265536.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610605015020025030035012195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
blue by 8.0
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 4.4
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Third
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 1.3
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds25%Capture odds