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Red103
162931.9
88830.6
384434.7
Blue107
45635.4
326034.9
446728.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011018090110120103107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
blue by 0.7
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
blue by 3.0
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Third
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
red by 2.3
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
30%Capture odds2%Capture odds