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Red99
265536.0
45635.4
999915.6
Blue108
265620.5
162931.9
384434.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9089708010011012099108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
red by 1.3
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 3.5
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 4.9
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds6%Capture odds