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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Western Canada Regional
Red205
419146.4
501597.1
244108.3
Blue286
216101.9
667989.6
551585.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253304100200400500600205286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#4
108.30.9
106.9→105.9
Auto13.1
Teleop46.0
End49.2
red by 6.3
216
#9
101.90.0
103.4→103.4
Auto11.0
Teleop41.8
End49.2
Second
5015
#3
97.11.2
95.3→94.0
Auto16.1
Teleop46.1
End35.0
red by 7.5
6679
#8
89.60.0
91.5→91.5
Auto6.9
Teleop37.9
End44.7
Third
4191
#20
46.41.2
44.6→43.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.8
End18.6
blue by 39.3
5515
#35
85.80.0
87.3→87.2
Auto13.6
Teleop41.1
End31.0