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Red255
419146.4
501597.1
244108.3
Blue245
216101.9
667989.6
551585.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249305100200400500600255245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#4
108.30.3
105.9106.2
Auto13.1
Teleop46.0
End49.2
red by 6.3
216
#9
101.90.8
103.4102.6
Auto11.0
Teleop41.8
End49.2
Second
97.10.3
94.094.4
Auto16.1
Teleop46.1
End35.0
red by 7.5
89.61.1
91.590.4
Auto6.9
Teleop37.9
End44.7
Third
4191
#20
46.40.3
43.443.7
Auto4.0
Teleop23.8
End18.6
blue by 39.3
5515
#35
85.80.8
87.286.4
Auto13.6
Teleop41.1
End31.0