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Red310
4451109.1
425663.5
201092.6
Blue170
349080.3
297347.1
201679.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19016550100150250300310170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.110.4
85.495.8
Auto10.4
Teleop51.2
End47.4
red by 28.8
80.31.3
61.259.9
Auto11.1
Teleop35.6
End33.6
Second
92.612.0
57.769.7
Auto10.4
Teleop35.7
End46.5
red by 13.3
2016
#10
79.31.0
54.353.3
Auto5.2
Teleop37.5
End36.5
Third
4256
#20
63.58.0
33.841.8
Auto7.5
Teleop44.5
End11.5
red by 16.4
2973
#23
47.11.7
44.743.0
Auto7.8
Teleop22.6
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed